Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 151.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5354540ac529e64cdcd15f03dd32bd88cd2b50ba0e48a0f0acc97993b7db9ada
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 49c | 17,318$8,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,874.04 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 12,912$6,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,589.24 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 49c | 3,743$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.15 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 47c | 699.99$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 53c | 531$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.43 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 52c | 457.17$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.17 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 410$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.5 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 55c | 410$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 54c | 340$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Over | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 52c | 198$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 49.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 44.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…5a1cbacked Under | 50c | 31.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb1…bd66backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…6894backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 151.5this page
- Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Notre Dame Fighting IrishNotre Dame Fighting Irish won
- Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-5.5)Notre Dame Fighting Irish won
- Spread: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-7.5)Notre Dame Fighting Irish won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.