La Liga · resolved market
Will Granada CF win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53704445f848f9e8162e1966df0dc3fcfd05f54ff14494b911e2d7d7c64d3fe5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,800 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 46c | 29,786$13,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,701.52 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 49c | 15,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 51c | 14,820$7,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,312.59 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 1,565$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.72 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 48c | 737.98$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.61 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 50c | 287.16$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 283.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.49 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 46c | 191.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…6d35backed Yes | 38c | 156.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 23c | 91.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 44c | 55.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 30c | 49.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 47c | 44.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 48c | 40.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 52c | 32.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 51c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1d…e003backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 53c | 19.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Granada CF win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2025-12-07?No won
- Will Granada CF vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.