Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53ff28352b34eb3c2f35f5f528aee89ed74666b7076acc6cc14e2b24e338a92f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 3c | 1,104$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Under | 61c | 1,092$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.3 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 39c | 482.3$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 37c | 153.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Under | 63c | 153.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Over | 31c | 150.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Under | 59c | 111.22$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Over | 39c | 93.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Under | 49c | 93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Over | 51c | 93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Under | 61c | 77.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 43c | 69.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 70c | 43.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 237 | 42.2%100 W · 137 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…eaf6backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Over | 48c | 33.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…d867backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbc…9c20backed Under | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3)EDward Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnerEDward Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.