Tennis · resolved market
ITF Nova Gorica: Maximillian Figl vs Leonardo Iemmi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54205b3c9a4b92ac389d2cef471e44ede2cb064e4a199e72c885ea10925adb20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maximillian Figlof Maximillian Figl, Leonardo Iemmi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maximillian Figl | 48c | 16,435$7,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,551.26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Leonardo Iemmi | 52c | 10,144$5,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,274.71 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leonardo Iemmi | 59c | 4,982$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.18 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Leonardo Iemmi | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Leonardo Iemmi | 37c | 249.16$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Leonardo Iemmi | 39c | 208$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Leonardo Iemmi | 58c | 187.74$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Maximillian Figl | 48c | 183.69$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.24 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Leonardo Iemmi | 59c | 165.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leonardo Iemmi | 52c | 163.61$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Leonardo Iemmi | 59c | 159$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Maximillian Figl | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Leonardo Iemmi | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Leonardo Iemmi | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Leonardo Iemmi | 39c | 105.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Leonardo Iemmi | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Maximillian Figl | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Leonardo Iemmi | 59c | 79.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Maximillian Figl | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Leonardo Iemmi | 60c | 71.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Leonardo Iemmi | 59c | 66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Maximillian Figl | 48c | 62.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 244 | 60.2%147 W · 97 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…cf8abacked Maximillian Figl | 51c | 52.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Maximillian Figl | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Maximillian Figl | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Maximillian Figl | 51c | 33.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Maximillian Figl | 63c | 31.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Leonardo Iemmi | 58c | 18.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.