Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x545a6ab0670e6568fb9ae13ec2e1375cc1d7d5fe4becc80ca1c7ae7993bbbd0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOSof RED Canids, LOS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed LOS | 62c | 845.08$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.28 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked LOS | 60c | 819.65$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.86 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked RED Canids | 38c | 580.33$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.33 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed RED Canids | 40c | 520$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.35 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed RED Canids | 39c | 388.67$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.58 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed LOS | 61c | 291$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed RED Canids | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked RED Canids | 38c | 195.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed RED Canids | 38c | 160$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…c701backed RED Canids | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7948…dad7backed LOS | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…34cabacked LOS | 61c | 80.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 156 | 73.1%114 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…86e7backed LOS | 63c | 67.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed RED Canids | 39c | 39.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…8b45backed LOS | 61c | 39.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…cd14backed LOS | 64c | 16.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier PlayoffsLOS won
- LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 1 WinnerLOS won
- LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 WinnerLOS won
- LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 3 WinnerLOS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.