Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Odense BK vs. Randers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54a8b34fe2a9f30f8286afb1c2d38c4b9eead9c0ea5638e4c9a838c17467c488
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 73c | 6,105$4,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.22 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 5,400$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 507.97$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.85 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…79b7backed Yes | 53c | 377.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 27c | 376.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 359.86$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.94 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 5c | 246.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 42c | 234.5$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.01 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 225$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 28c | 180.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 79c | 129$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 72c | 119.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 28c | 103$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 28c | 101$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 28c | 90.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 28c | 90.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 88.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 26c | 75.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 61.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 30c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 77c | 50.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 25c | 41.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed No | 74c | 27.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Odense BK vs. Randers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Odense BK win on 2026-04-19?Yes won
- Will Randers FC win on 2026-04-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.