CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54b009f9ead6b4a96df330f235dadde0ac03941448ffa0862f7baf6ae5626576
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof BIG, AM Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,558 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked AM Gaming | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked BIG | 80c | 2,499$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed BIG | 80c | 2,315$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.03 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed AM Gaming | 20c | 2,023$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.17 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb96…ceb1backed AM Gaming | 21c | 1,645$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed AM Gaming | 21c | 1,495$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.61 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed BIG | 79c | 1,063$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.56 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BIG | 76c | 732.78$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.75 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BIG | 78c | 711.71$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.76 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked BIG | 80c | 667.5$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.35 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked AM Gaming | 15c | 660$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG | 77c | 425.6$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…c913backed AM Gaming | 25c | 405.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked AM Gaming | 15c | 337.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 353 | 42.8%151 W · 202 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed AM Gaming | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked AM Gaming | 21c | 285.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked AM Gaming | 32c | 259.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked AM Gaming | 21c | 249.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0f…1fbabacked AM Gaming | 9c | 209.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…4176backed BIG | 75c | 158$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked BIG | 79c | 155.77$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked AM Gaming | 11c | 149.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed BIG | 79c | 127.84$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…3398backed AM Gaming | 19c | 113.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4b…038abacked BIG | 79c | 111.22$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked AM Gaming | 10c | 110.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed BIG | 79c | 106.33$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 569 | 38.1%217 W · 352 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed AM Gaming | 20c | 104$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed AM Gaming | 21c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x893a…37debacked BIG | 80c | 94.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked AM Gaming | 22c | 86.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked AM Gaming | 18c | 85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f4…ba36backed AM Gaming | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked BIG | 79c | 71.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,051 | 57.2%601 W · 450 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked BIG | 67c | 69.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x957f…8bb9backed BIG | 80c | 67.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed AM Gaming | 16c | 63.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed AM Gaming | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed BIG | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6068…1dacbacked AM Gaming | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked BIG | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a97…ec85backed BIG | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…9b54backed BIG | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed BIG | 55c | 18.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…dc2ebacked BIG | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2660…8aa9backed BIG | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs AM Gaming - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs AM Gaming - Map 2 WinnerBIG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs AM Gaming (+1.5)BIG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.