CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aedce7abd7ece24cdf57299bc9fee3e8e6055da230cac413b728b27da1a9edd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof BIG, AM Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,774 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked AM Gaming | 48c | 2,617$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.96 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BIG | 50c | 1,753$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.4 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BIG | 47c | 1,396$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.43 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed BIG | 28c | 1,200$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.07 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG | 59c | 1,166$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.9 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb96…ceb1backed AM Gaming | 25c | 399.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed BIG | 53c | 387.32$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.66 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AM Gaming | 58c | 321.39$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.13 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed BIG | 59c | 303.65$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.56 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed AM Gaming | 58c | 280.84$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.98 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked AM Gaming | 79c | 273.37$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.81 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed AM Gaming | 70c | 230$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.22 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec2…3987backed AM Gaming | 13c | 184$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed BIG | 56c | 163.91$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8695…9afabacked AM Gaming | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked BIG | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked BIG | 57c | 114.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked BIG | 43c | 94.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked BIG | 16c | 93.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked AM Gaming | 18c | 83.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…7300backed AM Gaming | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…dee2backed AM Gaming | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed AM Gaming | 30c | 53.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…2d0bbacked BIG | 51c | 41.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a2…dc15backed BIG | 51c | 41.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed BIG | 37c | 37.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…fe86backed AM Gaming | 53c | 32.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked BIG | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked AM Gaming | 34c | 29.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed BIG | 39c | 28.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed AM Gaming | 48c | 27.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…1829backed BIG | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsBIG won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs AM Gaming - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs AM Gaming (+1.5)BIG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.