Cricket · resolved market
T20 Central American Championship: Mexico vs Brazil
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54bcc2a136dadc1da546337cee3f4542cd782e3ed14e4e696dec0f04386a9429
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mexicoof Mexico, Brazil
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Brazil | 38c | 581.28$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.4 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Brazil | 43c | 482.9$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.65 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mexico | 79c | 465.62$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.69 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Brazil | 15c | 426.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mexico | 58c | 357.4$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.8 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Mexico | 76c | 296.33$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Mexico | 69c | 252.12$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Brazil | 12c | 145.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 323 | 15.8%51 W · 272 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5e…77f0backed Brazil | 16c | 141.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mexico | 71c | 135.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Brazil | 47c | 97.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Mexico | 60c | 93.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mexico | 54c | 83.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Brazil | 25c | 68.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Mexico | 80c | 66.23$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed Mexico | 66c | 53.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Brazil | 26c | 46.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 652 | 50.9%332 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Brazil | 30c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Mexico | 62c | 39.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…4c15backed Brazil | 44c | 34.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed Mexico | 67c | 29.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6c…e9a0backed Mexico | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Mexico | 79c | 21.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…0d17backed Mexico | 68c | 14.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Mexico | 80c | 12.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.61 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.