TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

NJIT Highlanders vs. Merrimack College Warriors (W)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NJIT Highlandersof NJIT Highlanders, Merrimack College Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,087

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,087 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x80ef…3973backed Merrimack College Warriors1c1,300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1360%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Merrimack College Warriors2c1,184$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.359725.8%25 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Merrimack College Warriors1c999.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14200%0 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3309…af1ebacked Merrimack College Warriors53c377$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffb2…4e03backed Merrimack College Warriors53c375$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82d…f311backed Merrimack College Warriors53c371$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2591…d2d9backed Merrimack College Warriors53c360$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Merrimack College Warriors4c344.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.57443.2%32 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x557e…5876backed NJIT Highlanders47c340$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1609…ed5abacked NJIT Highlanders47c336$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac7…4cf9backed Merrimack College Warriors53c332$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d98…eecebacked NJIT Highlanders47c321$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16f3…e9cabacked NJIT Highlanders47c307$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c19…ee7ebacked Merrimack College Warriors53c305$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe215…4950backed NJIT Highlanders47c295$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b26…06c5backed Merrimack College Warriors53c284$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a85…6adbbacked NJIT Highlanders47c276$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ba…bb62backed Merrimack College Warriors54c275$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf466…116bbacked NJIT Highlanders47c274$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05f5…e87dbacked NJIT Highlanders47c264$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42e5…b29cbacked Merrimack College Warriors54c261$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcef…19bcbacked Merrimack College Warriors54c259$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…a439backed Merrimack College Warriors53c254$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd5…477cbacked NJIT Highlanders47c245$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2680…d39cbacked NJIT Highlanders46c206$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07f6…a130backed NJIT Highlanders46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Merrimack College Warriors54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5524432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d6f…c25bbacked NJIT Highlanders46c146$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ace…3afdbacked NJIT Highlanders46c142.95$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.193151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b59…dcccbacked NJIT Highlanders46c135$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Merrimack College Warriors50c113.08$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.692,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Merrimack College Warriors52c108.29$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.597346.6%34 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb5…bb28backed NJIT Highlanders46c108$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2fc…a7c1backed NJIT Highlanders47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Merrimack College Warriors76c60$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.62,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked NJIT Highlanders34c55.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.271,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Merrimack College Warriors52c52.22$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.013,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked NJIT Highlanders50c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.516546.7%77 W · 88 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked NJIT Highlanders49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.45354.7%29 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed NJIT Highlanders40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1822756.4%128 W · 99 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Merrimack College Warriors76c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.857655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked NJIT Highlanders80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62580%20 W · 5 L+8.2wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+136.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x0091…4198backed NJIT Highlanders79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed NJIT Highlanders48c21.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.951428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.