Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. San Diego Toreros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54cfbe8409e2419d4e0494a0c8ff16bfc6224edb7ce8e6c20632dac7a055ac5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Riverside Highlandersof UC Riverside Highlanders, San Diego Toreros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Toreros | 31c | 1,315$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.01 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 78c | 986.73$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.68 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed San Diego Toreros | 73c | 800$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 27c | 800$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed San Diego Toreros | 16c | 540$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 42c | 491.78$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.07 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed San Diego Toreros | 75c | 274$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.51 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 23c | 109.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.11 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 25c | 85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 26c | 63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked San Diego Toreros | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked San Diego Toreros | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed San Diego Toreros | 75c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 44c | 27.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.