Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UConn vs. Seton Hall
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54ee0ddd24936a5acd78b55219d781df6d4f84f37241da172a7f8bc40222bb7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seton Hallof UConn, Seton Hall
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked UConn | 6c | 10,620$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed UConn | 71c | 985.88$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.82 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Seton Hall | 33c | 690$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.3 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Seton Hall | 9c | 599.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.95 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfa…22adbacked Seton Hall | 11c | 180$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecce…0ac0backed Seton Hall | 50c | 145$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…421ebacked UConn | 50c | 136$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d4…3b90backed Seton Hall | 11c | 120$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked UConn | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…7400backed UConn | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…a110backed UConn | 43c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c2…223abacked UConn | 43c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…512abacked UConn | 43c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…07b5backed Seton Hall | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…9b05backed Seton Hall | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +225.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…63d1backed Seton Hall | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x857d…79d4backed Seton Hall | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95a1…e654backed Seton Hall | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x244d…09b7backed Seton Hall | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…4546backed UConn | 68c | 22.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2e…515cbacked Seton Hall | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.