Tennis · resolved market
Tien vs. Blockx: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x555666998a15287ad51436e898e858c37d2b15d8815a9f95793ca19c8f168b00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over 3.5 | 74c | 6,944$5,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,139.32 | 581 | 49.6%288 W · 293 L | -32.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under 3.5 | 25c | 5,590$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,217.81 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Under 3.5 | 32c | 1,300$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Over 3.5 | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under 3.5 | 41c | 376.85$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.78 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under 3.5 | 30c | 342.9$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.03 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over 3.5 | 43c | 342.34$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…8b69backed Over 3.5 | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Over 3.5 | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Over 3.5 | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…1550backed Over 3.5 | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x342c…22febacked Over 3.5 | 64c | 80.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed Over 3.5 | 33c | 51.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over 3.5 | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over 3.5 | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ae…64f1backed Over 3.5 | 70c | 23.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tien vs. Blockx: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Next Gen ATP Finals, Final Stage: Learner Tien vs Alexander BlockxTien won
- Set 1 Winner: Tien vs BlockxTien won
- Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)Tien won
- Set Handicap: Tien (-2.5) vs Blockx (+2.5)Tien won
- Tien vs. Blockx: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Tien vs. Blockx: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Tien vs. Blockx: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Tien vs. Blockx: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Tien vs. Blockx: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Tien vs. Blockx: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.