Lol · resolved market
LoL: eSuba vs Ethereal Enigmas (BO1) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5579d19d33084d8426c1d40cc71bdca5f9943dffecb90b7c0cdbfaa40eddee1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- eSubaof eSuba, Ethereal Enigmas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba0e…995cbacked Ethereal Enigmas | 20c | 6,350$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ethereal Enigmas | 20c | 5,568$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.69 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Ethereal Enigmas | 20c | 4,190$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838 | 147 | 61.9%91 W · 56 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Ethereal Enigmas | 19c | 4,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…409bbacked Ethereal Enigmas | 20c | 3,995$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ethereal Enigmas | 20c | 3,388$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df4…8ca6backed Ethereal Enigmas | 20c | 2,850$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Ethereal Enigmas | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Ethereal Enigmas | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Ethereal Enigmas | 20c | 1,372$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.33 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Ethereal Enigmas | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7c…832dbacked eSuba | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…97b5backed eSuba | 80c | 850$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…b323backed eSuba | 80c | 850$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e7…c5c9backed eSuba | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4b75backed eSuba | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…0456backed eSuba | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…e9ebbacked eSuba | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x830b…acc2backed eSuba | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Ethereal Enigmas | 19c | 608.92$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.69 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76d5…1210backed eSuba | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…c82fbacked eSuba | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…7713backed eSuba | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Ethereal Enigmas | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…61f7backed eSuba | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb6…3804backed eSuba | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Ethereal Enigmas | 20c | 459$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Ethereal Enigmas | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Ethereal Enigmas | 20c | 375$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…fba6backed Ethereal Enigmas | 17c | 308.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Ethereal Enigmas | 22c | 263.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Ethereal Enigmas | 22c | 241$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Ethereal Enigmas | 20c | 180$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | -15.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed eSuba | 80c | 154.64$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Ethereal Enigmas | 20c | 101$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…9b3fbacked Ethereal Enigmas | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Ethereal Enigmas | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Ethereal Enigmas | 21c | 98.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Ethereal Enigmas | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Ethereal Enigmas | 30c | 74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked eSuba | 70c | 74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Ethereal Enigmas | 23c | 73.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Ethereal Enigmas | 21c | 73.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe646…7f8ebacked Ethereal Enigmas | 21c | 72.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Ethereal Enigmas | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ba…2a2fbacked Ethereal Enigmas | 30c | 55.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Ethereal Enigmas | 21c | 55.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Ethereal Enigmas | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Ethereal Enigmas | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Ethereal Enigmas | 44c | 40.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked eSuba | 80c | 39.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 369 | 52.3%193 W · 176 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed eSuba | 80c | 29.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -7.0wins | -0.18per pick | 76cpaid | -24%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…c4d9backed eSuba | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…759ebacked eSuba | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.