Other European Leagues · resolved market
PEC Zwolle vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x559b51f8334234d1ed2c7b5967ca78ba3a0aeed557bc82f1f0595c221f9d1e58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 11c | 1,801$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 55c | 1,232$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.67 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 1,096$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.11 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 44c | 647.96$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.64 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 27c | 446.02$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.02 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 77c | 399.98$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Under | 44c | 312.73$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 79c | 220$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 54c | 214.27$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 55c | 128.6$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 73c | 121$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 69c | 107.1$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 68c | 69.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 73c | 44.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 77c | 38.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Over | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 72c | 27.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 77c | 25.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 42c | 25.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf30…cdb3backed Under | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8d…d91ebacked Over | 58c | 21.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…f76cbacked Over | 58c | 20.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PEC Zwolle vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5this page
- PEC Zwolle vs. SBV Excelsior: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PEC Zwolle vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 1.5Over won
- PEC Zwolle vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5Over won
- PEC Zwolle vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.