Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55ad2ec93126a42e70de3f6030286977319fd5410b8da61bc9f6dc596d495567
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jacksonville State Gamecocksof Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, Jacksonville State Gamecocks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.12 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 54c | 4,351$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.2 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 72c | 2,348$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.08 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 21c | 2,037$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.62 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 44c | 1,697$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.27 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 54c | 993.4$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.44 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 27c | 683.17$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.91 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 57c | 599.99$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 46c | 480$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.65 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 17c | 402$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 54c | 346$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.89 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 59c | 215$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.87 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 57c | 168$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 42c | 167.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 42c | 147.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.79 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 60c | 144.44$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.15 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 45c | 128$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 48c | 103.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 42c | 96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 45c | 95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 27c | 73.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 43c | 51.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 29c | 49.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 46c | 48.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 62c | 43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 55c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 41c | 30.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 62c | 20.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.