South American Leagues · resolved market
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55b668c0e589d2dc6d03aca2660c8640b8375a7fae3527b2eb6c0899f8b3ce9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 616.72$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.74 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 262.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 256.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 65c | 230$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 107.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 40c | 98.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 38c | 74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 60c | 65.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…58b0backed Over | 60c | 46.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Under | 30c | 45.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…df66backed Over | 61c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 58c | 32.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +121%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 62c | 32.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef06…dcb6backed Under | 40c | 31.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 64c | 31.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 60c | 28.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc38…164dbacked Over | 61c | 25.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1c…953cbacked Over | 61c | 19.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 1.5this page
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 2.5Under won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 3.5Under won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.