Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55d248542ed4b6e9e7b97d786aadc1a30f7cc64e1b6f075bf44e66d2efd3c7e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rajasthan Royalsof Gujarat Titans, Rajasthan Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3d3…b10bbacked Gujarat Titans | 53c | 3,274$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.38 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Rajasthan Royals | 23c | 1,724$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.36 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…c980backed Gujarat Titans | 51c | 1,485$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.09 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Rajasthan Royals | 53c | 1,355$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.64 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4896…7431backed Rajasthan Royals | 53c | 600.18$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.08 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444a…07adbacked Gujarat Titans | 66c | 600$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.43 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 564.71$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.71 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd841…64cabacked Gujarat Titans | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…f49abacked Rajasthan Royals | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…7b6fbacked Rajasthan Royals | 48c | 207.11$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c6…7eafbacked Rajasthan Royals | 50c | 161.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…6deebacked Gujarat Titans | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4df…3b5abacked Gujarat Titans | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6064…cc6ebacked Gujarat Titans | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a0dabacked Gujarat Titans | 51c | 38.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a6…0362backed Rajasthan Royals | 50c | 36.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…3c6fbacked Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…b55cbacked Gujarat Titans | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…099ebacked Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2680…c54cbacked Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab9…e027backed Rajasthan Royals | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan RoyalsGujarat Titans won
- Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals - Completed match?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.