Tennis · resolved market
Centurion: Harold Mayot vs Millen Hurrion
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55f96739e8e45b579e137c22a488ffe41eae5f8d6c8d81a827858c2341e8ef85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Harold Mayotof Harold Mayot, Millen Hurrion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Millen Hurrion | 4c | 3,988$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.98 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Harold Mayot | 73c | 851.13$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.78 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Harold Mayot | 77c | 639.59$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.35 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Millen Hurrion | 7c | 638.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Millen Hurrion | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Millen Hurrion | 21c | 278.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Millen Hurrion | 13c | 224.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Millen Hurrion | 23c | 169.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Millen Hurrion | 12c | 167.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Millen Hurrion | 20c | 152.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Millen Hurrion | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Harold Mayot | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Millen Hurrion | 33c | 149.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Millen Hurrion | 21c | 141.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Millen Hurrion | 15c | 134.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Harold Mayot | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 225 | 40.4%91 W · 134 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Millen Hurrion | 23c | 98.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Millen Hurrion | 16c | 94.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Harold Mayot | 77c | 76.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534a…023abacked Millen Hurrion | 30c | 70.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Harold Mayot | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…3488backed Harold Mayot | 76c | 47.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Harold Mayot | 76c | 23.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Harold Mayot | 76c | 20.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.