Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x560bbd788914a9670c30b8dbd14da2a38e598ccf0fdd918bc0867fb6b359841d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajunsof Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns, Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 49c | 4,665$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.17 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 51c | 3,750$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 55c | 1,114$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.73 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 54c | 727$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.42 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 54c | 726.45$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.95 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 53c | 619.2$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.18 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 48c | 561$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.28 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 50c | 414$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 10c | 260$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 68c | 260$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.9 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 49c | 240$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.6 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 50c | 196.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 46c | 140.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 38c | 92.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 50c | 88.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 76c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 50c | 26.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…bbf7backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawksthis page
- Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: O/U 136.5Over won
- Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: O/U 137.5Over won
- Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: O/U 138.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.