Other European Leagues · resolved market
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Gil Vicente FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5635ff29487b2e62e0ba4370c7e0e8d3fb9baefdc9d2b396ad827e3a68487fbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,186 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 3c | 1,092$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 563.7$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.01 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 49c | 514.06$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.17 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c64…0d1fbacked No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed No | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…875bbacked No | 10c | 186.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 49c | 119.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed No | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 50c | 40.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 52c | 20.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…fdedbacked No | 54c | 19.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Gil Vicente FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)CF Estrela da Amadora won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-2.5)CF Estrela da Amadora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.