South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-01-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5644898bbdedcae57ce5f750ef786b93830b1c96dd2485432fe5b1500ff8ef88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 62c | 4,896$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.68 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.99 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 37c | 3,000$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.08 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 35c | 2,498$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.88 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 6c | 1,862$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.71 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 1,091$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.21 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 55c | 1,024$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.63 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 65c | 798.94$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.31 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 65c | 541.54$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 63c | 534.12$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.38 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 21c | 344.85$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 7c | 279.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 57c | 275.96$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.83 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 254.36$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 41c | 241.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.46 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 32c | 125.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 114.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed No | 76c | 106.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 86.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4915…60f2backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd485…871fbacked Yes | 36c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 40c | 49.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Yes | 39c | 49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 59c | 33.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 64c | 21.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8802…91d6backed No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 58c | 20.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 79c | 16.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-01-27?this page
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-01-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.