South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-01-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b4428a14967f36043eb735242e9869610361a14aa76c1376ad24c4a6f9f5bab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 1c | 6,975$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.65 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 80c | 3,755$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.41 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5048…4b29backed Yes | 10c | 1,323$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.58 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x532a…bfefbacked Yes | 28c | 1,087$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…f671backed Yes | 28c | 984.16$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 33c | 611.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3174…b136backed No | 74c | 550$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 3c | 529$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed No | 70c | 368.99$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 28c | 344.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 35c | 248.57$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 220.38$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 32c | 193.36$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 404 | 42.1%170 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 7c | 176.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 12c | 168.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 78c | 168.73$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 35c | 166.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 7c | 163.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 31c | 161.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…2832backed Yes | 30c | 131.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 35c | 105$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 28c | 103.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689b…d7cbbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 72c | 90.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed No | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 494 | 40.9%202 W · 292 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 25c | 80.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 26c | 68.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 26c | 62.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 34c | 55.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…e25fbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 50.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…0cb5backed Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -8.8wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 24c | 44.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed No | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd485…871fbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6b…682bbacked No | 66c | 29.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-01-27?this page
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?No won
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-01-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.