Lol · resolved market
LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO1) - Comedy Central Winter Snowdown Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x565adf857efe7e9e8570a56df0da7d1dc5ca78cce932448ae5fb56b05760b74e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 NORDof G2 NORD, Eintracht Frankfurt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3414…067abacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.99 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked G2 NORD | 64c | 774.22$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.22 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 35c | 499.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed G2 NORD | 61c | 495.08$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.08 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed G2 NORD | 61c | 401.64$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.64 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…4c8cbacked G2 NORD | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked G2 NORD | 61c | 164.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 779 | 49.9%389 W · 390 L | +12.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…fba6backed G2 NORD | 65c | 138.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed G2 NORD | 74c | 117$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed G2 NORD | 73c | 107$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 25c | 106.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed G2 NORD | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed G2 NORD | 74c | 92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed G2 NORD | 73c | 83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e3…f702backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 27c | 63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a0…978fbacked G2 NORD | 66c | 55.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 27c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed G2 NORD | 77c | 46.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 36c | 40.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed G2 NORD | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked G2 NORD | 73c | 25.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x857a…bcbbbacked G2 NORD | 67c | 19.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.