Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Kaichi Uchida vs Bernard Tomic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5662862d5125e7af2d4945c44cc383fae1c3be857b5a489fb5c8f405bd72ce7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bernard Tomicof Kaichi Uchida, Bernard Tomic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Bernard Tomic | 79c | 3,446$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.66 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kaichi Uchida | 21c | 1,990$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kaichi Uchida | 19c | 1,565$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Kaichi Uchida | 21c | 1,303$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.63 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kaichi Uchida | 12c | 1,288$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.74 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Kaichi Uchida | 20c | 1,159$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.04 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Kaichi Uchida | 17c | 571.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Kaichi Uchida | 21c | 241.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kaichi Uchida | 23c | 233.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bernard Tomic | 79c | 194.34$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Bernard Tomic | 79c | 189.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Kaichi Uchida | 33c | 179.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Kaichi Uchida | 16c | 156$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Kaichi Uchida | 21c | 138$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Bernard Tomic | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Kaichi Uchida | 16c | 128.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Kaichi Uchida | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Bernard Tomic | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Kaichi Uchida | 21c | 96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Kaichi Uchida | 28c | 94.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Kaichi Uchida | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Kaichi Uchida | 24c | 86.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bernard Tomic | 67c | 86.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bernard Tomic | 66c | 66.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc06b…76ddbacked Bernard Tomic | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2e…9d98backed Bernard Tomic | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bernard Tomic | 79c | 41.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Bernard Tomic | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Bernard Tomic | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Bernard Tomic | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 232 | 72.8%169 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Bernard Tomic | 80c | 16.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Bernard Tomic | 80c | 16.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.