Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Fulham (-0.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56781bade26d07b3ed65b14fa6d6f4d4b38e4abaa0e5c509a5d06493defe3edb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fulhamof Fulham, Wolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wolves | 46c | 10,421$4,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,823.55 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fulham | 57c | 10,119$5,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,372.51 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wolves | 34c | 1,990$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.27 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Fulham | 56c | 1,788$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.5 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…e042backed Fulham | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…73b1backed Wolves | 46c | 599.87$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Wolves | 46c | 420$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb0…acf5backed Wolves | 47c | 372.34$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…eaadbacked Fulham | 54c | 291.87$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…d82dbacked Wolves | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Fulham | 53c | 199.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.13 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Wolves | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe838…3832backed Wolves | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…49aabacked Fulham | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe15f…93d7backed Wolves | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Wolves | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…c1dfbacked Fulham | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0647…da66backed Wolves | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Fulham (-0.5)this page
- Fulham vs. Wolves: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fulham vs. Wolves: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.