TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Vexa vs Red Feet - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vexaof Vexa, Red Feet
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,090
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,090 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b4c…1715backed Red Feet1c1,193$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9342427.1%115 W · 309 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa563…01e4backed Red Feet3c1,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vexa73c376$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.381,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Vexa80c300$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.732,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddbd…bcb5backed Red Feet19c276.88$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.416720.4%34 W · 133 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Vexa65c239.6$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.861,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Red Feet28c223.59$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.615,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Red Feet14c204.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.165,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d78…b8b9backed Red Feet29c174.87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2116949.7%84 W · 85 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Vexa71c112.78$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9626245.8%120 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Vexa72c95.25$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.674,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked Red Feet32c91.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2937140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3724…c59abacked Red Feet26c72.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.79732%31 W · 66 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Red Feet28c71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1264046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Red Feet29c67.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4491743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Vexa79c29.13$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.082,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.