CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vexa vs Red Feet - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30476c8dbf32fc688910b4627b96281a0e0b7f222f600e51490f69b0d5065aee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Feetof Vexa, Red Feet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Red Feet | 46c | 2,800$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.04 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vexa | 47c | 2,248$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.73 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Red Feet | 61c | 1,001$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.85 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Vexa | 46c | 955.37$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.58 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Red Feet | 58c | 900$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.5 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Vexa | 44c | 827$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.16 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Red Feet | 47c | 669.55$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.15 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Vexa | 49c | 614.98$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Vexa | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Vexa | 42c | 475.6$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.87 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed Vexa | 50c | 459.65$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.83 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Red Feet | 55c | 449.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.5 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Vexa | 39c | 354.88$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.02 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…ca23backed Vexa | 48c | 341.78$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Vexa | 41c | 303.06$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 167 | 20.4%34 W · 133 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vexa | 44c | 239.81$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.39 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Red Feet | 78c | 236.04$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Red Feet | 47c | 226.83$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.45 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Red Feet | 50c | 215$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.91 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Vexa | 28c | 209$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Vexa | 40c | 205.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Red Feet | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Red Feet | 60c | 181.66$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.39 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Red Feet | 71c | 174.57$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Vexa | 44c | 174$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vexa | 48c | 166.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Red Feet | 43c | 154$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Vexa | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked Vexa | 38c | 150.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Vexa | 40c | 143.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Vexa | 55c | 142.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.03 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Red Feet | 60c | 138.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed Vexa | 58c | 103.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Vexa | 43c | 103.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked Vexa | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Red Feet | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Red Feet | 51c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Vexa | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Red Feet | 53c | 83.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…a2dfbacked Red Feet | 54c | 75.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Vexa | 28c | 70.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…166abacked Vexa | 35c | 69.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Vexa | 50c | 60.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Red Feet | 56c | 59.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Vexa | 64c | 56.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Vexa | 35c | 55.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Red Feet | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f3…9e5bbacked Vexa | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked Red Feet | 53c | 44.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vexa | 43c | 42.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Red Feet | 46c | 42.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Red Feet | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Red Feet | 34c | 38.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Red Feet | 64c | 36.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Vexa | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Vexa | 62c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…0854backed Vexa | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…4d3bbacked Vexa | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Red Feet | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Red Feet | 49c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked Red Feet | 52c | 20.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Red Feet | 59c | 18.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +307.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vexa vs Red Feet - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vexa vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group StageVexa won
- Counter-Strike: Vexa vs Red Feet - Map 2 WinnerVexa won
- Map Handicap: VEXA (-1.5) vs Red Feet (+1.5)Red Feet won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.