Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Darko Hrka record the most yellow cards in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x574bf4efad288e4d555704ec62081c4a58ac8a0857bd5a84f96c43fc6f660fca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x235e…ee03backed Yes | 38c | 331.67$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…351cbacked Yes | 38c | 324$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf5…3eb5backed No | 62c | 324$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…c252backed No | 62c | 323.61$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…ff59backed No | 62c | 322.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…61b1backed No | 62c | 322.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f1…69cdbacked Yes | 38c | 321.75$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3815…0a80backed No | 62c | 319.73$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf044…6cf6backed Yes | 38c | 308.64$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9932…a9bfbacked Yes | 38c | 306.97$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…ab41backed No | 63c | 289.84$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cce…e06dbacked No | 63c | 267.37$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa400…152cbacked No | 63c | 264.57$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…d94dbacked No | 63c | 263.21$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9b…b486backed No | 63c | 261.13$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed17…f263backed No | 63c | 253.14$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Darko Hrka record the most yellow cards in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?this page
- Will Pathé Ismaël Ciss record the most yellow cards in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?Yes won
- Will Ray Kendry Páez Andrade record the most yellow cards in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.