Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Pathé Ismaël Ciss record the most yellow cards in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe64702f90c4891ace872d4c638eb4275da7a29a7275122d5060204c145e5c17a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x235e…ee03backed No | 61c | 355.33$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf044…6cf6backed No | 61c | 343.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa5…df15backed Yes | 40c | 336.59$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…a08abacked Yes | 40c | 335.59$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2e…0af4backed Yes | 40c | 334.61$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6652…7280backed No | 60c | 334.4$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…0c95backed No | 60c | 334.27$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204c…e69ebacked No | 60c | 333.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1535…9672backed No | 60c | 332.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…d530backed No | 61c | 332.08$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…7c8ebacked No | 60c | 330.78$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…d265backed Yes | 40c | 327.47$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f1…69cdbacked No | 61c | 315.44$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…ec51backed Yes | 40c | 308$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9932…a9bfbacked No | 61c | 269.8$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…f452backed No | 59c | 213.67$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…ba2cbacked No | 59c | 209.59$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeee…c51bbacked No | 59c | 208.14$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9494…110ebacked No | 59c | 208.14$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc31…4c4abacked No | 59c | 208.01$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ff…7898backed No | 59c | 207.69$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa286…591bbacked No | 59c | 206.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…2923backed No | 59c | 206.71$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…7007backed No | 59c | 206.15$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8748…a5cbbacked No | 59c | 204.96$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…821dbacked No | 59c | 204.85$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b06…3ef9backed No | 59c | 204.19$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e27…a24cbacked No | 59c | 202.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee2…9375backed No | 59c | 200.31$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aef…de78backed No | 59c | 195.1$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e0…d60cbacked Yes | 69c | 86.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 74c | 54.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…351cbacked No | 61c | 49.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pathé Ismaël Ciss record the most yellow cards in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?this page
- Will Darko Hrka record the most yellow cards in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?No won
- Will Ray Kendry Páez Andrade record the most yellow cards in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.