CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2.A (-1.5) vs against All authority (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5777da564a9eceb7f098f1540e2841a6b0a046817ad91fa26322891b95ba561d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Aresof G2 Ares, against All authority
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked G2 Ares | 57c | 2,150$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.76 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed against All authority | 43c | 2,000$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.98 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…f069backed G2 Ares | 61c | 582.69$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.25 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed G2 Ares | 61c | 567.88$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.16 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed against All authority | 37c | 372.69$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.74 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed against All authority | 39c | 354.74$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.34 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed against All authority | 39c | 333.56$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.09 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed G2 Ares | 58c | 302.91$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked against All authority | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked against All authority | 39c | 285.21$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.23 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed against All authority | 40c | 268.5$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked G2 Ares | 65c | 266.71$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed G2 Ares | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed against All authority | 39c | 240.05$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.29 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed against All authority | 42c | 190.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked against All authority | 43c | 135.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed G2 Ares | 59c | 121.24$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba80…987cbacked against All authority | 38c | 88.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed G2 Ares | 55c | 39.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed G2 Ares | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed against All authority | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed G2 Ares | 59c | 25.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed against All authority | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa231…a91ebacked G2 Ares | 62c | 17.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked G2 Ares | 64c | 16.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2.A (-1.5) vs against All authority (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs against All authority (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group CG2 Ares won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs against All authority - Map 1 WinnerG2 Ares won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs against All authority - Map 2 WinnerG2 Ares won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.