CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs against All authority (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaeb6d4c44646df006d177cdd1bddaf6b88cc04f15f6e2c2e43ab9ad16962c91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Aresof G2 Ares, against All authority
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed against All authority | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.98 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed against All authority | 17c | 1,739$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked against All authority | 18c | 1,204$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.67 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked against All authority | 18c | 824.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed against All authority | 17c | 699.96$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed against All authority | 16c | 640$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed against All authority | 17c | 605.35$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.48 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed against All authority | 21c | 543.65$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.59 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed against All authority | 16c | 514.31$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…eea5backed against All authority | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +747.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed against All authority | 17c | 486.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed against All authority | 18c | 483.87$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed G2 Ares | 79c | 463.81$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.83 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed against All authority | 23c | 310$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed against All authority | 16c | 305.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked against All authority | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed against All authority | 16c | 249.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed against All authority | 15c | 204.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed against All authority | 16c | 176.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked against All authority | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed against All authority | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked G2 Ares | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked G2 Ares | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed G2 Ares | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs against All authority (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs against All authority - Map 1 WinnerG2 Ares won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs against All authority - Map 2 WinnerG2 Ares won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2.A (-1.5) vs against All authority (+1.5)G2 Ares won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.