Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UNCG Spartans vs. Samford Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5778b63d3e3c0050b824a8f00aa188f0eb0d56c808a873f9365c4a875630f344
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samford Bulldogsof UNCG Spartans, Samford Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked UNCG Spartans | 23c | 2,346$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.34 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Samford Bulldogs | 80c | 2,222$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.4 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Samford Bulldogs | 80c | 2,053$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.81 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed UNCG Spartans | 20c | 1,999$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.75 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed UNCG Spartans | 20c | 1,454$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.8 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed UNCG Spartans | 18c | 1,290$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.38 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samford Bulldogs | 76c | 1,050$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Samford Bulldogs | 78c | 455.28$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.18 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Samford Bulldogs | 80c | 303$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UNCG Spartans | 20c | 298.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UNCG Spartans | 23c | 276.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Samford Bulldogs | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked UNCG Spartans | 20c | 99.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed UNCG Spartans | 20c | 97.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…41d9backed UNCG Spartans | 18c | 71.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed UNCG Spartans | 20c | 64.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UNCG Spartans | 20c | 50.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Samford Bulldogs | 80c | 35.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Samford Bulldogs | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Samford Bulldogs | 79c | 24.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Samford Bulldogs | 63c | 17.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 135 | 65.9%89 W · 46 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.