La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Eibar win on 2025-12-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5778eef1a822a4c837f83a19c4eff2bf096ef4f28f2f2cbf3e2a28caf08d2d78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,899.74 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 37c | 29,994$11,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,895.91 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 61c | 3,276$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.77 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 3,007$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.87 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Yes | 37c | 2,946$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 2,439$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.99 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 42c | 999.67$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.74 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 68c | 887.82$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.82 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 39c | 639.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.38 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed No | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 77c | 564.71$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.11 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed7…375ebacked No | 8c | 503.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b8…40d2backed No | 27c | 425.93$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 66c | 417.16$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.24 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked No | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed No | 32c | 338.82$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.81 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 60c | 302.16$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.96 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 67c | 283.64$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1a…a50dbacked No | 61c | 221.31$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c3…19cbbacked No | 65c | 198.46$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…dfd4backed No | 6c | 184.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 40c | 176.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.98 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x129e…7e3ebacked No | 60c | 168.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 63c | 153.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021b…a0e7backed No | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…5f76backed No | 60c | 148.33$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 60c | 141.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3a…0cdfbacked No | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 71c | 133.06$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…cbdebacked No | 35c | 131.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3340…935ebacked No | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 42c | 117.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 41c | 110$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…6010backed No | 61c | 109.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 79c | 105.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8346…021cbacked No | 60c | 101.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ec…84a3backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf176…9eeebacked No | 61c | 86.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f11…80d6backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf570…d06abacked No | 60c | 76.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 28c | 73.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a8…8f17backed No | 60c | 71.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…6c61backed No | 65c | 67.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed No | 29c | 64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…ad57backed No | 65c | 63.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…8dfcbacked No | 61c | 62.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 63c | 61.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed No | 32c | 59.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…bbe2backed No | 33c | 57.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 37c | 56.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f052backed No | 60c | 51.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…92bdbacked No | 61c | 45.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Yes | 37c | 44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…1d84backed No | 60c | 43.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa85…9702backed No | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…a482backed No | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb22…799bbacked No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x762f…ed35backed No | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…c11cbacked No | 61c | 34.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…ea83backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 57c | 32.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed No | 59c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 41c | 31.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd745…63e6backed No | 60c | 31.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd699…3f8abacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked No | 59c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 69cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed No | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 64cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 64c | 15.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Eibar win on 2025-12-19?this page
- Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2025-12-19?No won
- Will SD Eibar vs. Real Valladolid CF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.