Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Antalyaspor (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57ac4c38c0a09eb302e07c459795e7481dbf069509370abd0a79183a77d31233
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kocaelisporof Antalyaspor, Kocaelispor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Antalyaspor | 28c | 17,140$4,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,839.12 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kocaelispor | 72c | 16,023$11,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,432.52 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Antalyaspor | 34c | 1,178$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.02 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kocaelispor | 74c | 872.28$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.56 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Kocaelispor | 64c | 416.25$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Kocaelispor | 73c | 343.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Antalyaspor | 14c | 299$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Kocaelispor | 78c | 193.92$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Kocaelispor | 72c | 182$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Kocaelispor | 74c | 150.47$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Kocaelispor | 73c | 99.02$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Kocaelispor | 74c | 78.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Kocaelispor | 64c | 74.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Kocaelispor | 64c | 49.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Kocaelispor | 72c | 44.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Kocaelispor | 73c | 34.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Kocaelispor | 73c | 20.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kocaelispor | 64c | 16.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Kocaelispor | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Antalyaspor (-1.5)this page
- Antalyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Antalyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 0.5Over won
- Antalyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 1.5Under won
- Antalyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5Under won
- Antalyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Antalyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Antalyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Antalyaspor (-2.5)Kocaelispor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.