Euroleague · resolved market
Valencia vs. Anadolu Efes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57b7c067260ec6c7c786b5168e46f6eea989693212d324bf0284aba68a8104c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valenciaof Valencia, Anadolu Efes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Valencia | 74c | 2,360$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.42 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Anadolu Efes | 26c | 1,796$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.35 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Anadolu Efes | 26c | 1,466$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.52 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Valencia | 74c | 1,121$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.86 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Valencia | 76c | 1,057$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Anadolu Efes | 25c | 1,042$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.58 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Anadolu Efes | 22c | 984.97$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.21 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Valencia | 77c | 911.38$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.62 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…33bfbacked Valencia | 75c | 357.28$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Anadolu Efes | 25c | 353.42$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Anadolu Efes | 19c | 226.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Anadolu Efes | 26c | 207.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…d221backed Valencia | 64c | 199.39$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Anadolu Efes | 27c | 190.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Anadolu Efes | 26c | 155.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Anadolu Efes | 25c | 152$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3941…ed5fbacked Valencia | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Anadolu Efes | 30c | 134$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Anadolu Efes | 26c | 117.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed Valencia | 75c | 90.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Anadolu Efes | 26c | 84.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…7364backed Valencia | 75c | 79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…7d37backed Anadolu Efes | 27c | 76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Valencia | 73c | 66.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0348…e426backed Valencia | 78c | 64.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Valencia | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Valencia | 73c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Anadolu Efes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Valencia | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed Anadolu Efes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Valencia | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Valencia | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Valencia | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x867e…f32ebacked Valencia | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Valencia | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Valencia | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Valencia | 73c | 23.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Valencia | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…71dfbacked Valencia | 78c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Valencia | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Valencia | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.