Asian League · resolved market
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57d14971abfd4c565be5e67b08e01b6a444be9b8ec40f1e1480daf2bda1a0ecc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,222 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 51c | 810.78$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Over | 51c | 799.54$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 475.68$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.84 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 50c | 381$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.22 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 274.97$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.73 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 269.11$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.92 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 67c | 196.77$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 50c | 189.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 50c | 125$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Under | 51c | 95.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 50c | 68.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 49c | 65.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 50c | 58.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 51c | 58.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 50c | 47.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa439…5802backed Over | 50c | 40.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 50c | 40.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 62c | 34.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Over | 50c | 28.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Under | 49c | 23.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.