Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: DePaul Blue Demons (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57e45f805a601b7a1c9509468be0074540fbec3d72eb1a137648a96452bfed9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgetown Hoyasof DePaul Blue Demons, Georgetown Hoyas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,389 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x161a…4103backed Georgetown Hoyas | 50c | 666.05$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.2 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 49c | 527.54$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.25 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Georgetown Hoyas | 53c | 430.18$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.18 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed DePaul Blue Demons | 49c | 428$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.48 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed DePaul Blue Demons | 49c | 274.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.48 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Georgetown Hoyas | 52c | 191.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Georgetown Hoyas | 49c | 140.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed DePaul Blue Demons | 45c | 108.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed DePaul Blue Demons | 48c | 103.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…0ddbbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 47c | 101.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed DePaul Blue Demons | 48c | 96.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Georgetown Hoyas | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed DePaul Blue Demons | 54c | 73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked Georgetown Hoyas | 47c | 67.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 54c | 59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Georgetown Hoyas | 56c | 55.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: DePaul Blue Demons (-1.5)this page
- Georgetown Hoyas vs. DePaul Blue DemonsGeorgetown Hoyas won
- Georgetown Hoyas vs. DePaul Blue Demons: O/U 131.5Under won
- Georgetown Hoyas vs. DePaul Blue Demons: O/U 132.5Under won
- Georgetown Hoyas vs. DePaul Blue Demons: O/U 133.5Under won
- Georgetown Hoyas vs. DePaul Blue Demons: O/U 136.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.