Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57e848426350add87d6e85352e41d48f7a1e49f773d9fedf091e3976b741c099
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x212b…92c3backed Yes | 25c | 3,929$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 2,831$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.19 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 9c | 1,250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed No | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 25c | 1,072$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 9c | 830.77$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 6c | 627.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 620.23$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.63 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 75c | 276$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 75c | 232$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 78c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6e2abacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…32c8backed Yes | 16c | 85.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 75c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…52dbbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad1…20d8backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ab…2348backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 15.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?this page
- Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-01-22?No won
- Will OGC Nice win on 2026-01-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.