NHL · resolved market
World Championships: Latvia vs. Finland
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5825a22925df3525c6f883c3d327f0fdfb2e08b264cb2f0b672463c27df6846c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Finlandof Latvia, Finland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Latvia | 11c | 5,574$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.7 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0268…09f7backed Latvia | 11c | 1,429$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Latvia | 15c | 960.67$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.65 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Latvia | 12c | 772.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Latvia | 15c | 600.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc9…00a6backed Latvia | 12c | 583.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Latvia | 11c | 538.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Latvia | 16c | 499.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…7956backed Latvia | 18c | 472$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…d142backed Latvia | 18c | 343$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a63…f3adbacked Latvia | 14c | 290.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Latvia | 9c | 269.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…fa87backed Latvia | 6c | 191.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…4e46backed Latvia | 8c | 182.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca1…a5f0backed Latvia | 13c | 152.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 24cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Latvia | 12c | 149.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Latvia | 16c | 147.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Latvia | 11c | 144$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Latvia | 10c | 129$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…fadcbacked Latvia | 13c | 114.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…75dcbacked Latvia | 11c | 99.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Latvia | 11c | 99.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.