NHL · resolved market
SHL: Linkoeping vs. Luleaa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58af5c6d6c44f33ff190ae26701fd19558a3c42b51f537ff1dff7e87ce9c424d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luleaaof Linkoeping, Luleaa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,956 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc777…0c7bbacked Linkoeping | 43c | 8,156$3,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,507.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cf…1cc3backed Linkoeping | 43c | 6,371$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0365…aef3backed Linkoeping | 43c | 6,298$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e19…59f3backed Linkoeping | 43c | 5,115$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe917…4bdfbacked Luleaa | 57c | 4,698$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4227…0e8cbacked Linkoeping | 43c | 4,668$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f2…61b7backed Luleaa | 57c | 4,338$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad0…9d26backed Luleaa | 57c | 4,132$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…8839backed Luleaa | 57c | 4,025$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…4249backed Luleaa | 57c | 4,005$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…fbb4backed Luleaa | 57c | 3,976$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c8…dd17backed Luleaa | 57c | 2,759$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd3…668ebacked Luleaa | 57c | 2,622$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Luleaa | 57c | 111.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…229abacked Linkoeping | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Luleaa | 57c | 79.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Linkoeping | 43c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.