Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Jong vs Gaubas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58d28f6d109a40aec54039638dd985c9847d2a38d7eca7d72979c7ab63e1384e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jongof Jong, Gaubas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Jong | 67c | 901$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Jong | 53c | 867.3$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.63 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Gaubas | 33c | 767$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.46 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Jong | 68c | 746.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.99 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gaubas | 42c | 662.91$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.98 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Jong | 57c | 333.33$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.33 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Gaubas | 43c | 327.91$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Gaubas | 29c | 252.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jong | 71c | 132.48$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Gaubas | 40c | 124.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Gaubas | 49c | 100.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Jong | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Jong | 60c | 99.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Gaubas | 41c | 87.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Gaubas | 37c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Gaubas | 34c | 62.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Jong | 52c | 29.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Jong | 54c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Jong vs Gaubasthis page
- Jesper de Jong vs. Vilius Gaubas: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 2 Winner: Jong vs GaubasJong won
- Set Handicap: Jong (-1.5) vs Gaubas (+1.5)Jong won
- Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius GaubasJesper de Jong won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.