CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x590d82cbdea8bee274fe220ac4c1fb36d9844c2bc4d0508bbd3d45e99a36bbf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Young Ninjasof The Last Resort, Young Ninjas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Young Ninjas | 65c | 2,588$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.01 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked The Last Resort | 38c | 2,469$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.1 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked The Last Resort | 28c | 1,807$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.19 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Young Ninjas | 68c | 1,359$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.4 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed The Last Resort | 27c | 910.06$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.94 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…db25backed The Last Resort | 3c | 347.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Young Ninjas | 77c | 298.96$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.48 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Young Ninjas | 74c | 285.65$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Young Ninjas | 76c | 215.18$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked The Last Resort | 6c | 211.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…bf13backed Young Ninjas | 60c | 180$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed The Last Resort | 36c | 175.75$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Young Ninjas | 79c | 144.48$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 84 | 75%63 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Young Ninjas | 64c | 139.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed The Last Resort | 28c | 138.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Young Ninjas | 74c | 128.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Young Ninjas | 73c | 114$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Young Ninjas | 72c | 60.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 164 | 64.6%106 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed The Last Resort | 27c | 49.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…cf2dbacked The Last Resort | 21c | 47.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…3a39backed Young Ninjas | 60c | 46.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…db98backed Young Ninjas | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed Young Ninjas | 66c | 37.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Young Ninjas | 66c | 37.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…dd00backed Young Ninjas | 78c | 26.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Young Ninjas | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 WinnerYoung Ninjas won
- Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 WinnerYoung Ninjas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.