CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70371206ee3f2e4b356af15fa76786c8dfacd09299829f9fe109b6b31c1c91a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Young Ninjasof The Last Resort, Young Ninjas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked The Last Resort | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Young Ninjas | 53c | 2,863$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.85 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed The Last Resort | 47c | 1,140$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.57 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked The Last Resort | 49c | 985.27$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.99 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed The Last Resort | 47c | 597.98$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.05 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Young Ninjas | 48c | 593.27$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.12 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Young Ninjas | 52c | 493.08$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.7 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed The Last Resort | 48c | 479.94$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.81 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Young Ninjas | 53c | 476.73$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.06 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Young Ninjas | 50c | 439.16$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.58 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked Young Ninjas | 51c | 380.76$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.65 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Young Ninjas | 46c | 330.69$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.77 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Young Ninjas | 53c | 330.41$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Young Ninjas | 52c | 330.23$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.12 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed The Last Resort | 55c | 310.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.25 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Young Ninjas | 53c | 304.04$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.94 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed The Last Resort | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Young Ninjas | 31c | 289$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.41 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed The Last Resort | 49c | 256.34$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.42 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Young Ninjas | 53c | 242.95$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.19 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Young Ninjas | 47c | 229.3$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.16 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Young Ninjas | 49c | 178.65$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked The Last Resort | 50c | 114.45$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed The Last Resort | 47c | 110.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f13…593dbacked Young Ninjas | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Young Ninjas | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Young Ninjas | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked The Last Resort | 60c | 66.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d18…2b3dbacked Young Ninjas | 68c | 53.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…267dbacked Young Ninjas | 50c | 40.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…e6d7backed Young Ninjas | 53c | 39.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…bf13backed Young Ninjas | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Young Ninjas | 53c | 38.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Young Ninjas | 37c | 33.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked The Last Resort | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Young Ninjas | 39c | 28.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked The Last Resort | 50c | 25.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed The Last Resort | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed The Last Resort | 58c | 24.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 PlayoffsYoung Ninjas won
- Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 WinnerYoung Ninjas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.