TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Oklahoma State vs. UCF

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UCFof Oklahoma State, UCF
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,265
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,265 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ada…2f28backed UCF52c206$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8220548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb45…78f7backed Oklahoma State31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x679b…28c4backed Oklahoma State37c171$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.27666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked UCF61c146.83$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.661,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa7…faa0backed UCF74c137$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.62580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x377b…84b5backed Oklahoma State32c137$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.84425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-67.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce42…f303backed Oklahoma State26c131$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.06580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+33.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ba9…d1d9backed UCF68c121$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77d0…b2f5backed UCF69c115$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.65650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2608…87c5backed UCF63c93$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160a…3170backed Oklahoma State26c85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb1…d84abacked Oklahoma State26c81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.06333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Oklahoma State32c77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.929012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaf8…f136backed Oklahoma State25c76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…39e3backed Oklahoma State32c73$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd989…144cbacked UCF68c69$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5c…80acbacked Oklahoma State26c69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f8…b413backed UCF68c68$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4611…89a4backed Oklahoma State32c66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c2…a4a0backed Oklahoma State26c62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed7f…0f12backed Oklahoma State32c62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c6f…5cd0backed Oklahoma State32c61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-50.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1712…385dbacked Oklahoma State32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a8…1dd4backed Oklahoma State25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4d…0f5dbacked Oklahoma State26c55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ecb…5475backed UCF75c55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1f…a931backed Oklahoma State25c55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.75333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-33.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9298…e55cbacked Oklahoma State25c54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3999…b06dbacked Oklahoma State32c54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8713…0c0abacked Oklahoma State26c54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeced…0d50backed UCF75c53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.255100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8af0…5b7abacked Oklahoma State31c52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca90…2938backed UCF74c51$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd379…0d8abacked Oklahoma State31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92ef…a6c4backed UCF69c47$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ac…ea3ebacked Oklahoma State26c47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…060dbacked UCF74c45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x136a…b55cbacked UCF74c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5134…c4a5backed Oklahoma State32c41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98c4…c6afbacked UCF75c41$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.25683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebe1…1a1cbacked UCF68c39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.48450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a2…b2c2backed Oklahoma State33c39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c5…53c9backed Oklahoma State33c38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329b…c012backed UCF69c38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…826abacked Oklahoma State33c38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f51…7a43backed Oklahoma State31c38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked UCF69c38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7853057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe28c…45dcbacked UCF74c37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf6…e2a3backed Oklahoma State32c36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x534e…a97ebacked UCF68c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ff…f477backed UCF74c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40f1…966cbacked UCF74c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea4c…f2fdbacked Oklahoma State33c32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa05d…ba08backed UCF68c31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb71…2fdfbacked UCF68c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2364…b851backed UCF69c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e1…2df9backed UCF68c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d13…1e3fbacked UCF68c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff89…cf1bbacked UCF74c28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb94…14b7backed UCF68c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7316…0f11backed UCF74c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c6…95cfbacked UCF75c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc7…46e9backed UCF68c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f78…bc4ebacked UCF74c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked UCF64c24.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.739751.5%50 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc80f…6dcebacked UCF74c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4990…cf16backed UCF68c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7059…5754backed UCF68c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.364100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac69…7b77backed UCF68c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1740…3207backed UCF69c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.132100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+128.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf20…35e9backed UCF67c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick55cpaid+93.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e94…4ed6backed UCF75c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick58cpaid+55.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x795d…be46backed UCF74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.72366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x524a…5236backed UCF74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b99…5f5cbacked UCF67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x173a…49b5backed UCF75c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x924c…feccbacked UCF67c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd414…7ba6backed UCF74c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b8b…2700backed UCF75c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9427…80cbbacked UCF69c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc8…745cbacked UCF69c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe18…642cbacked UCF67c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+141.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8eef…8d77backed UCF68c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03b7…80e2backed UCF68c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d9…a937backed UCF67c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27bc…617bbacked UCF68c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f64…ed1bbacked UCF75c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5287…07a6backed UCF69c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd36e…4f25backed UCF75c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc588…09e7backed UCF74c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x008c…8c57backed UCF75c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd31a…c7f8backed UCF67c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c13…60efbacked UCF69c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2578…cb58backed UCF74c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff53…0f7abacked UCF74c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x825a…0fb1backed UCF75c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ce6…5309backed UCF75c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a84…9fcfbacked UCF67c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b3…92fcbacked UCF75c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b3…dfcdbacked UCF75c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.