Fifa International · resolved market
Senegal vs. Gambia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59904939995c7b24b717e42aacf08d99f0de31dc6c2f3f2068d23e93949f8d2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 619.87$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.15 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 27c | 542.14$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.55 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 51c | 516.51$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.07 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 30c | 346.32$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.35 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 306.25$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 24c | 234.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.3 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 27c | 224$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.12 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Over | 22c | 114.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +346.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 48c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 97.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 50c | 79.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 43c | 49.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 47.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 52c | 44.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…6221backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed Under | 50c | 32.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senegal vs. Gambia: O/U 2.5this page
- Senegal vs. Gambia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Senegal vs. Gambia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Gambia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Gambia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gambia (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Gambia (-2.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Gambia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.