Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs BNK FearX Youth (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5996d4fa20a6463bec8cd4d97bdc0bd1bbadd49894f3c569c4155395794552b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BNK FearX Youthof T1 Academy, BNK FearX Youth
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed BNK FearX Youth | 53c | 4,186$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.57 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked T1 Academy | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e14cbacked T1 Academy | 46c | 520.18$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.98 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed T1 Academy | 44c | 512.96$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.44 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed BNK FearX Youth | 56c | 499.95$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.98 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed BNK FearX Youth | 56c | 359.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.41 | 286 | 52.8%151 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked BNK FearX Youth | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed BNK FearX Youth | 56c | 161.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed T1 Academy | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed T1 Academy | 44c | 143.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed T1 Academy | 44c | 137.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed T1 Academy | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked BNK FearX Youth | 51c | 80.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed T1 Academy | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 334 | 53.9%180 W · 154 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed T1 Academy | 49c | 75.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed BNK FearX Youth | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed BNK FearX Youth | 56c | 40.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…6b86backed BNK FearX Youth | 56c | 39.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed BNK FearX Youth | 56c | 32.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 134 | 73.9%99 W · 35 L | +13.8wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed T1 Academy | 45c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed BNK FearX Youth | 56c | 26.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed T1 Academy | 43c | 25.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 316 | 61.1%193 W · 123 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed BNK FearX Youth | 56c | 18.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs BNK FearX Youth (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2T1 Academy won
- LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs T1 Academy - Game 1 WinnerBNK FearX Youth won
- LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs T1 Academy - Game 2 WinnerT1 Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.