CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs Back to Back - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59abbd521f54ee9de4c3a53e460249f4cbf561cc0e865bfdf960e98d6b10dab8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DashSkinsof DashSkins, Back to Back
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,922 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed DashSkins | 60c | 1,393$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.21 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Back to Back | 50c | 1,368$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.75 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Back to Back | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked DashSkins | 69c | 1,069$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.91 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Back to Back | 34c | 1,044$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.93 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked DashSkins | 60c | 844.34$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.46 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked DashSkins | 79c | 535.42$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.73 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Back to Back | 31c | 494.09$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.02 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Back to Back | 25c | 306.66$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Back to Back | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DashSkins | 60c | 196.5$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Back to Back | 61c | 146.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Back to Back | 45c | 141$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Back to Back | 44c | 137.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Back to Back | 59c | 118.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed DashSkins | 39c | 88.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf872…f7ffbacked Back to Back | 12c | 82.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…f0a0backed Back to Back | 16c | 74.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Back to Back | 33c | 70.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked DashSkins | 71c | 69.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked DashSkins | 37c | 63.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed DashSkins | 56c | 42.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed DashSkins | 32c | 42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Back to Back | 53c | 40.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed DashSkins | 62c | 38.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed DashSkins | 60c | 36.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed DashSkins | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed DashSkins | 66c | 33.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…91bfbacked Back to Back | 62c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked DashSkins | 48c | 31.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed DashSkins | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Back to Back | 53c | 27.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed DashSkins | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed DashSkins | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9889…b214backed DashSkins | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs Back to Back - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs Back to Back (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group StageDashSkins won
- Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs Back to Back - Map 2 WinnerDashSkins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.