TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs Back to Back - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DashSkinsof DashSkins, Back to Back
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,482

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,482 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a46…ab25backed Back to Back 53c1,618$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.1611550.4%58 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Back to Back 33c1,435$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.9180744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Back to Back 35c1,376$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.916,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Back to Back 52c1,229$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.062,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked DashSkins70c1,029$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9278963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked DashSkins55c888.29$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.427,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Back to Back 55c555.05$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.7539248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x679d…6f07backed DashSkins71c400$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1152528%7 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-38.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcf…056bbacked DashSkins74c350.85$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1911354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Back to Back 30c337.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022952%119 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Back to Back 24c334.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8015142.4%64 W · 87 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Back to Back 39c296.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8347641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed DashSkins47c260.44$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.224,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Back to Back 59c233.73$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.33,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed DashSkins76c221.32$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3252947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d6…f0a0backed Back to Back 26c200$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Back to Back 33c175$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2591648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Back to Back 37c164$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.495,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked DashSkins59c155$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6329154%157 W · 134 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed DashSkins73c130$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.183543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39e2…040dbacked DashSkins52c97.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0610045%45 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked Back to Back 24c79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9641640.6%169 W · 247 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked DashSkins52c73.85$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.132,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Back to Back 19c72.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.752,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed DashSkins44c56.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.632,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1be0…26aebacked DashSkins66c47.12$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked DashSkins44c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.27749.4%38 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed DashSkins57c41.03$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8333352.6%175 W · 158 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed DashSkins49c38.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.442,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed DashSkins68c37.49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.818750.6%44 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed Back to Back 40c33.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.473847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Back to Back 35c31.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9945224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x603a…b591backed DashSkins60c29.87$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.841650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Back to Back 37c27.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2457935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed DashSkins57c23.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1295849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff93…91bfbacked Back to Back 64c20.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.391020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-67.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1986…a434backed DashSkins60c20.68$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.271154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca82…fcfebacked DashSkins79c15.89$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3514971.8%107 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed DashSkins68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.85,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.