Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59af40a4660fd3b8d3e446cd27ce2e5939251cec7e2bdf1849b91e57ff882258
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof FlyQuest, LYON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5556…2759backed LYON | 68c | 1,040$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.51 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked FlyQuest | 32c | 1,032$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.88 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed FlyQuest | 26c | 450$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked LYON | 66c | 433$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.22 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LYON | 73c | 402.08$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.69 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd3…6635backed FlyQuest | 33c | 342.71$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f9b2backed FlyQuest | 34c | 338.53$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 404 | 46%186 W · 218 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked FlyQuest | 31c | 219.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…ac8fbacked LYON | 68c | 173.53$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 634 | 48.1%305 W · 329 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed LYON | 75c | 115.07$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked LYON | 65c | 68.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed FlyQuest | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 458 | 41.5%190 W · 268 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed FlyQuest | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked LYON | 67c | 55.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef9…d257backed FlyQuest | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed FlyQuest | 31c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed LYON | 67c | 32.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +12.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked LYON | 69c | 22.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -8.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked LYON | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…8b45backed LYON | 70c | 16.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonLYON won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.